Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.046882 1.261611 1.533933 1.915078 2.453249 3.218328 4.457377
2025-11-30 0.777370 1.022903 1.381878 1.983848 3.066354 5.206100 10.933331
2025-12-07 0.626397 0.868590 1.255445 1.989173 3.578643 7.836109 29.511690
2025-12-14 0.524312 0.752089 1.137973 1.936481 3.935530 11.007450 100.663289
2025-12-21 0.457409 0.673888 1.058438 1.914894 4.361534 16.027119 1360.897883
2025-12-28 0.426694 0.648486 1.065302 2.082696 5.560603 33.130303 NaN
2026-01-04 0.394416 0.613392 1.042805 2.169874 6.674804 72.021738 NaN
2026-01-11 0.361050 0.570382 0.993152 2.162103 7.436964 156.326228 NaN
2026-01-18 0.329386 0.525911 0.930881 2.092235 7.827682 340.440431 NaN
2026-01-25 0.309219 0.500791 0.906467 2.130362 9.038173 3419.296902 NaN
2026-02-01 0.294791 0.484912 0.899842 2.226247 11.062752 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.276960 0.459928 0.866749 2.215822 12.285832 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.257455 0.429950 0.817760 2.132719 12.687967 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.247517 0.418848 0.814286 2.229194 15.950598 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.235230 0.401440 0.791626 2.238486 18.339142 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.221758 0.380217 0.755724 2.176423 19.343458 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.210855 0.363610 0.729847 2.150907 21.302870 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.207714 0.363619 0.749088 2.350647 32.492550 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.201818 0.356884 0.748371 2.454962 44.850819 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.193551 0.344049 0.728144 2.445649 52.820232 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.184234 0.328134 0.696902 2.362048 54.632399 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.178550 0.320159 0.688228 2.407639 72.250525 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.174640 0.315969 0.690341 2.522609 116.180745 NaN NaN